Main
Middleweight
Vitor Belfort vs Michael Bisping
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vitor Belfort
Michael Bisping
30%
70%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
36
Age
Δ 2y
34
26-15
Career record
Δ 14 pp
31-9
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Belfort: 18 sig / 0 TD ·
Bisping: 14 sig / 0 TD
Vitor Belfort
Michael Bisping
34
Sig strikes landed
41
96
Sig strikes attempted
109
43
Total strikes landed
65
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
48s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Vitor Belfort
"The Phenom"
26-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
W
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
L
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
Blue corner
W1
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
31-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
L
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
W
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—