Prelims2
Bantamweight
Chico Camus vs Dustin Kimura
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Chico Camus
Dustin Kimura
50%
50%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 5"
71"
28
Age
Δ 4y
24
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Camus: 23 sig / 1 TD ·
Kimura: 16 sig / 0 TD
Chico Camus
Dustin Kimura
26
Sig strikes landed
18
38
Sig strikes attempted
34
42
Total strikes landed
45
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.8
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
234s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Chico Camus
"The King"
18-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
Blue corner
Dustin Kimura
"The Diamond"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24