Prelims1
Lightweight
Jacob Volkmann vs King Green
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jacob Volkmann
King Green
34%
66%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
W1
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Volkmann: 6 sig / 4 TD ·
Green: 54 sig / 1 TD
Jacob Volkmann
King Green
21
Sig strikes landed
25
53
Sig strikes attempted
55
46
Total strikes landed
41
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.4
6.7
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
272s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jacob Volkmann
"Christmas"
20-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
L
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
—
W
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W
UFC 125: Resolution
—
Blue corner
King Green
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26