Prelims2
Welterweight
Simeon Thoresen vs David Mitchell
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
·United Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Simeon Thoresen
David Mitchell
56%
44%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
29
Age
Δ 4y
33
17-7-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
22-8
L1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Thoresen: 49 sig / 1 TD ·
Mitchell: 60 sig / 1 TD
Simeon Thoresen
David Mitchell
32
Sig strikes landed
28
67
Sig strikes attempted
68
51
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.0
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
128s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Simeon Thoresen
"The Grin"
17-7-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
Blue corner
L2
David Mitchell
"Daudi"
22-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—