Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Daniel Cormier
Dion Staring
55%
45%
Why
34
Age
Δ 1y
35
W6
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Cormier: 53 sig / 4 TD ·
Staring: 8 sig / 0 TD
Daniel Cormier
Dion Staring
40
Sig strikes landed
28
84
Sig strikes attempted
76
61
Total strikes landed
43
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
179s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
23-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
Strikeforce - Barnett vs Cormier
—
W
Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Khari…
—
W
Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 13
—
W
Strikeforce - Houston
—
Blue corner
Dion Staring
"Soldier"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35