Back to UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
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Erik Perez vs Byron Bloodworth

UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Erik Perez
Byron Bloodworth
84% 16%
Why
23
Age
Δ 6y
29
18-6
Career record
Δ 15 pp
6-4
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Perez: 40 sig / 0 TD · Bloodworth: 8 sig / 0 TD
Erik Perez
Byron Bloodworth
41
Sig strikes landed
12
68
Sig strikes attempted
36
52
Total strikes landed
18
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.60
Knockdowns
-0.10
147s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
27%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Erik Perez

"Goyito"
18-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
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W The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
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Blue corner
L1

Byron Bloodworth

6-4
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
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