Prelims2
Bantamweight
Scott Jorgensen vs John Albert
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
·Climate Pledge Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Scott Jorgensen
John Albert
54%
46%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
15-13
Career record
Δ 4 pp
6-6
L2
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Jorgensen: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Albert: 5 sig / 0 TD
Scott Jorgensen
John Albert
33
Sig strikes landed
34
70
Sig strikes attempted
80
51
Total strikes landed
41
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.0
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
201s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Scott Jorgensen
"Young Guns"
15-13
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—
L
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
W
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
Blue corner
L2
John Albert
"Prince"
6-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—