Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Darren Uyenoyama
Phil Harris
36%
64%
Why
65"
Reach
65"
33
Age
Δ 4y
29
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Uyenoyama: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Harris: 10 sig / 2 TD
Darren Uyenoyama
Phil Harris
20
Sig strikes landed
21
40
Sig strikes attempted
42
41
Total strikes landed
42
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.6
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
347s
Control time
176s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Darren Uyenoyama
"BC"
11-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
Blue corner
Phil Harris
"Billy"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29