Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Miesha Tate
Julie Kedzie
80%
20%
Why
26
Age
Δ 5y
31
20-11
Career record
Δ 11 pp
16-14
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Tate: 17 sig / 2 TD ·
Kedzie: 52 sig / 0 TD
Miesha Tate
Julie Kedzie
33
Sig strikes landed
22
70
Sig strikes attempted
47
66
Total strikes landed
49
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
3.9
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
249s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Miesha Tate
"Cupcake"
20-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
Strikeforce - Tate vs. Rousey
—
W
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 10
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 7
—
Blue corner
L1
Julie Kedzie
16-14
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
—