Prelims1
Featherweight
Jason Young vs Robert Peralta
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
·Motorpoint Arena Nottingham
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jason Young
Robert Peralta
39%
61%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
26
Age
Δ 0y
26
10-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
18-8
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Young: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Peralta: 7 sig / 0 TD
Jason Young
Robert Peralta
46
Sig strikes landed
52
125
Sig strikes attempted
101
58
Total strikes landed
66
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.5
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.60
138s
Control time
63s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jason Young
"Shotgun"
10-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
L
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
L
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
Blue corner
W1
Robert Peralta
"Problems"
18-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
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