Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jason High
Nate Moore
92%
8%
Why
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
22-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
9-4
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
High: 2 sig / 0 TD ·
Moore: 2 sig / 0 TD
Jason High
Nate Moore
42
Sig strikes landed
29
112
Sig strikes attempted
87
65
Total strikes landed
32
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.1
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
166s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jason High
"The Kansas City Bandit"
22-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce Challengers 19
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
Blue corner
W1
Nate Moore
9-4
Career record
Height
72"
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Cyborg
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—