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Middleweight

Luke Rockhold vs Tim Kennedy

Strikeforce - Rockhold vs Kennedy ·Moda Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Luke Rockhold
Tim Kennedy
65% 35%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
17-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
19-6
W3
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Rockhold: 60 sig / 1 TD · Kennedy: 46 sig / 2 TD
Luke Rockhold
Tim Kennedy
38
Sig strikes landed
34
105
Sig strikes attempted
87
49
Total strikes landed
36
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.4
0.8
Takedowns attempted
6.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
109s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Luke Rockhold

17-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jard…
—
W Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Khari…
—
W Strikeforce Challengers 6
—
Blue corner
W2

Tim Kennedy

19-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
—
W Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Hender…
—
L Strikeforce - Houston
—
W Strikeforce - Los Angeles
—