Prelims2
Featherweight
Felipe Arantes vs Milton Vieira
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
·Mineirinho Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Felipe Arantes
Milton Vieira
75%
25%
Why
24
Age
Δ 9y
34
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Arantes: 38 sig / 2 TD ·
Vieira: 30 sig / 1 TD
Felipe Arantes
Milton Vieira
42
Sig strikes landed
37
83
Sig strikes attempted
83
60
Total strikes landed
53
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
145s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Felipe Arantes
"Sertanejo"
19-10-1
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
Blue corner
Milton Vieira
"Miltinho"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34