Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Wanderlei Silva
Rich Franklin
59%
41%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
36
Age
Δ 2y
38
36-13-1
Career record
Δ 6 pp
29-8
W1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Silva: 58 sig / 0 TD ·
Franklin: 122 sig / 1 TD
Wanderlei Silva
Rich Franklin
41
Sig strikes landed
42
102
Sig strikes attempted
134
46
Total strikes landed
46
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.2
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
16s
Control time
58s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Wanderlei Silva
"The Axe Murderer"
36-13-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
W
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
L1
Rich Franklin
"Ace"
29-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
W
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—