Back to UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
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Anthony Perosh vs Ryan Jimmo

UFC 149: Faber vs Barao ·Scotiabank Saddledome

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Anthony Perosh
Ryan Jimmo
24% 76%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
40
Age
Δ 9y
31
W3
Current streak
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Perosh: 0 sig / 0 TD · Jimmo: 2 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Perosh
Ryan Jimmo
22
Sig strikes landed
29
50
Sig strikes attempted
57
36
Total strikes landed
47
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.4
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
138s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Anthony Perosh

"The Hippo"
16-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
W UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
W UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
L UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
Blue corner

Ryan Jimmo

"The Big Deal"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31