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Mitch Clarke vs Anton Kuivanen

UFC 149: Faber vs Barao ·Scotiabank Saddledome

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Mitch Clarke
Anton Kuivanen
37% 63%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
27
Age
Δ 2y
28
11-6
Career record
Δ 4 pp
24-11
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Clarke: 6 sig / 3 TD · Kuivanen: 29 sig / 3 TD
Mitch Clarke
Anton Kuivanen
36
Sig strikes landed
44
97
Sig strikes attempted
92
50
Total strikes landed
55
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
67s
Control time
96s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Mitch Clarke

"Danger Zone"
11-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
Blue corner
L1

Anton Kuivanen

24-11
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…