🏆 Title fight
Main
Bantamweight
Urijah Faber vs Renan Barao
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
·Scotiabank Saddledome
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Urijah Faber
Renan Barao
42%
58%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
33
Age
Δ 8y
26
36-11
Career record
Δ 3 pp
35-9
W1
Current streak
W3
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Faber: 60 sig / 0 TD ·
Barao: 85 sig / 0 TD
Urijah Faber
Renan Barao
50
Sig strikes landed
57
139
Sig strikes attempted
160
66
Total strikes landed
81
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.0
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
87s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Urijah Faber
"The California Kid"
36-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
W
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
Blue corner
W3
Renan Barao
"The Baron"
35-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
W
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
W
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
—