Prelims1
Middleweight
Constantinos Philippou vs Riki Fukuda
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Constantinos Philippou
Riki Fukuda
37%
63%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
14-5
Career record
Δ 0 pp
25-9
W3
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Philippou: 42 sig / 0 TD ·
Fukuda: 44 sig / 0 TD
Constantinos Philippou
Riki Fukuda
49
Sig strikes landed
43
111
Sig strikes attempted
92
59
Total strikes landed
66
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
43s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Constantinos Philippou
14-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
L
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
Blue corner
W1
Riki Fukuda
25-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—