Prelims2
Bantamweight
John Albert vs Erik Perez
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
John Albert
Erik Perez
28%
72%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
26
Age
Δ 3y
22
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Albert: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Perez: 18 sig / 0 TD
John Albert
Erik Perez
25
Sig strikes landed
36
56
Sig strikes attempted
67
35
Total strikes landed
49
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
43s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
John Albert
"Prince"
6-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
Erik Perez
"Goyito"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23