Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Josh Barnett
Daniel Cormier
77%
23%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
36-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
23-3
W2
Current streak
W5
2
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Barnett: 53 sig / 0 TD ·
Cormier: 84 sig / 4 TD
Josh Barnett
Daniel Cormier
22
Sig strikes landed
17
50
Sig strikes attempted
29
37
Total strikes landed
35
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.4
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
204s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Josh Barnett
"The Warmaster"
36-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Khari…
—
W
Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
—
Blue corner
W5
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
23-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Khari…
—
W
Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 13
—
W
Strikeforce - Houston
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 7
—