Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Miesha Tate
Ronda Rousey
59%
41%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
26
Age
Δ 0y
25
21-10
Career record
Δ 19 pp
13-2
W3
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Tate: 8 sig / 1 TD ·
Rousey: 8 sig / 3 TD
Miesha Tate
Ronda Rousey
32
Sig strikes landed
23
63
Sig strikes attempted
58
47
Total strikes landed
44
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.5
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
219s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
48%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Miesha Tate
"Cupcake"
21-10
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 10
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 7
—
Blue corner
W2
Ronda Rousey
"Rowdy"
13-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce Challengers 20
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 18
—