Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Oli Thompson
Shawn Jordan
37%
63%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Thompson: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Jordan: 64 sig / 0 TD
Oli Thompson
Shawn Jordan
34
Sig strikes landed
36
68
Sig strikes attempted
70
50
Total strikes landed
53
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
105s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Oli Thompson
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
Shawn Jordan
"The Savage"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27