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Main Middleweight

Court McGee vs Constantinos Philippou

UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann ·Qudos Bank Arena

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Court McGee
Constantinos Philippou
69% 31%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
24-14
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-5
W3
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McGee: 58 sig / 0 TD · Philippou: 60 sig / 0 TD
Court McGee
Constantinos Philippou
38
Sig strikes landed
33
121
Sig strikes attempted
89
61
Total strikes landed
36
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
121s
Control time
45s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W3

Court McGee

"The Crusher"
24-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
W UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
Blue corner
W2

Constantinos Philippou

14-5 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
W UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
L UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones