Back to Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jardine
Light Heavyweight

Muhammed Lawal vs Lorenz Larkin

Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jardine ·Hard Rock Hotel and Casino
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Muhammed Lawal
Lorenz Larkin
64% 36%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
31
Age
Δ 6y
25
22-6
Career record
Δ 3 pp
19-6
W1
Current streak
W3
3
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Overturned · Round 2
Lawal: 39 sig / 2 TD · Larkin: 3 sig / 0 TD
Muhammed Lawal
Lorenz Larkin
40
Sig strikes landed
42
120
Sig strikes attempted
91
57
Total strikes landed
54
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
7.4
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.50
257s
Control time
40s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Muhammed Lawal

"King Mo"
22-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Khari…
—
L Strikeforce - Houston
—
W Strikeforce - Nashville
—
Blue corner
W3

Lorenz Larkin

"The Monsoon"
19-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W Strikeforce Challengers 19
—
W Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
W Strikeforce Challengers 15
—