Back to Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jardine
Middleweight

Robbie Lawler vs Adlan Amagov

Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jardine ·Hard Rock Hotel and Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Robbie Lawler
Adlan Amagov
51% 49%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
30
Age
Δ 5y
25
30-17
Career record
Δ 20 pp
15-2-1
L2
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Lawler: 6 sig / 0 TD · Amagov: 1 sig / 2 TD
Robbie Lawler
Adlan Amagov
18
Sig strikes landed
31
44
Sig strikes attempted
59
21
Total strikes landed
32
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
95s
Control time
211s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Robbie Lawler

"Ruthless"
30-17 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
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L Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Cyborg
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W Strikeforce - Henderson vs. Bab…
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L Strikeforce - Los Angeles
—
W Strikeforce - Miami
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Blue corner
W2

Adlan Amagov

"Borz"
15-2-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W Strikeforce Challengers 20
—
W Strikeforce Challengers 17
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