Back to UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Prelims2 Featherweight

Zhang Tiequan vs Issei Tamura

UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson ·Saitama Super Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Zhang Tiequan
Issei Tamura
70% 30%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 6"
63"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Tiequan: 6 sig / 0 TD · Tamura: 15 sig / 1 TD
Zhang Tiequan
Issei Tamura
28
Sig strikes landed
29
69
Sig strikes attempted
72
47
Total strikes landed
44
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
108s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Zhang Tiequan

"The Wolf"
15-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
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W UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
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Blue corner

Issei Tamura

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28