Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Melvin Guillard
Jim Miller
43%
57%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
29
Age
Δ 0y
28
32-19-2
Career record
Δ 6 pp
39-20
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Guillard: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Miller: 4 sig / 1 TD
Melvin Guillard
Jim Miller
21
Sig strikes landed
19
57
Sig strikes attempted
64
24
Total strikes landed
28
0.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
12s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
19%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
48%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Melvin Guillard
"The Young Assassin"
32-19-2
(3 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
L
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
W
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
Blue corner
L1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39-20
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—