Prelims2
Featherweight
Manvel Gamburyan vs Diego Nunes
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Manvel Gamburyan
Diego Nunes
32%
68%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
15-11
Career record
Δ 13 pp
19-8
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gamburyan: 19 sig / 2 TD ·
Nunes: 42 sig / 0 TD
Manvel Gamburyan
Diego Nunes
32
Sig strikes landed
46
81
Sig strikes attempted
99
51
Total strikes landed
71
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
160s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
15-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
—
Blue corner
L1
Diego Nunes
"The Gun"
19-8
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W
UFC 125: Resolution
—