Prelims2
Lightweight
Jacob Volkmann vs Efrain Escudero
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jacob Volkmann
Efrain Escudero
40%
60%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
31
Age
Δ 5y
26
20-7
Career record
Δ 6 pp
28-13
W4
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Volkmann: 17 sig / 3 TD ·
Escudero: 7 sig / 0 TD
Jacob Volkmann
Efrain Escudero
26
Sig strikes landed
27
68
Sig strikes attempted
75
51
Total strikes landed
46
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
6.6
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
268s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Jacob Volkmann
"Christmas"
20-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W
UFC 125: Resolution
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
L
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—
Blue corner
L1
Efrain Escudero
"Hecho En Mexico"
28-13
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
—