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Diego Brandao vs Dennis Bermudez

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Diego Brandao
Dennis Bermudez
65% 35%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
24
Age
Δ 0y
25

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Brandao: 19 sig / 1 TD · Bermudez: 25 sig / 1 TD
Diego Brandao
Dennis Bermudez
39
Sig strikes landed
36
82
Sig strikes attempted
81
55
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
122s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Diego Brandao

"DB"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner

Dennis Bermudez

"The Menace"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25