Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Antwain Britt
Lumumba Sayers
84%
16%
Why
34
Age
Δ 0y
33
11-7
Career record
Δ 11 pp
6-6
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Britt: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Sayers: 4 sig / 0 TD
Antwain Britt
Lumumba Sayers
41
Sig strikes landed
43
99
Sig strikes attempted
89
57
Total strikes landed
58
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
130s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Antwain Britt
"The Juggernaut"
11-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
Strikeforce Challengers 12
—
L
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
—
Blue corner
L1
Lumumba Sayers
6-6
Career record
Height
72"
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
—