Prelims1
Welterweight
DaMarques Johnson vs Clay Harvison
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
·Honda Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
DaMarques Johnson
Clay Harvison
46%
54%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
15-16
Career record
Δ 17 pp
13-7
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Johnson: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Harvison: 6 sig / 0 TD
DaMarques Johnson
Clay Harvison
26
Sig strikes landed
36
57
Sig strikes attempted
61
47
Total strikes landed
42
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.7
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
153s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
DaMarques Johnson
"Darkness"
15-16
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
L
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
W
UFC 112: Invincible
—
Blue corner
L1
Clay Harvison
"Bushwacker"
13-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—