Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Quinn Mulhern
Danny Davis
93%
7%
Why
27
Age
Δ 2y
29
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Quinn Mulhern
Danny Davis
54
Sig strikes landed
43
105
Sig strikes attempted
99
76
Total strikes landed
61
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
174s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Quinn Mulhern
18-5
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
Blue corner
Danny Davis
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Age
29