Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jason High
Todd Moore
73%
27%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
22-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
17-7
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jason High
Todd Moore
36
Sig strikes landed
33
86
Sig strikes attempted
84
49
Total strikes landed
45
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
150s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jason High
"The Kansas City Bandit"
22-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
Blue corner
W1
Todd Moore
17-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
—