Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Lavar Johnson
Shawn Jordan
44%
56%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 6"
76"
34
Age
Δ 7y
27
18-11
Career record
Δ 6 pp
19-9
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Johnson: 23 sig / 0 TD ·
Jordan: 10 sig / 3 TD
Lavar Johnson
Shawn Jordan
31
Sig strikes landed
37
71
Sig strikes attempted
58
48
Total strikes landed
43
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
125s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Lavar Johnson
"Big"
18-11
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Silva
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 11
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 7
—
Blue corner
L1
Shawn Jordan
"The Savage"
19-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce Challengers 17
—