Light Heavyweight
Lorenz Larkin vs Nick Rossborough
Strikeforce Challengers 19
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Lorenz Larkin
Nick Rossborough
90%
10%
Why
25
Age
Δ 5y
30
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Larkin: 65 sig / 0 TD ·
Rossborough: 42 sig / 0 TD
Lorenz Larkin
Nick Rossborough
47
Sig strikes landed
42
114
Sig strikes attempted
130
51
Total strikes landed
46
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.60
Knockdowns
0.10
80s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Lorenz Larkin
"The Monsoon"
19-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 15
—
Blue corner
Nick Rossborough
"Leatherface"
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Age
30