Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ikuhisa Minowa
Baru Harn
95%
5%
Why
36
Age
Δ 2y
34
L2
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Minowa: 0 sig / 1 TD ·
Harn: 0 sig / 0 TD
Ikuhisa Minowa
Baru Harn
43
Sig strikes landed
42
104
Sig strikes attempted
68
46
Total strikes landed
53
3.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.2
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.60
Knockdowns
0.30
357s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
9%
Submission
67%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Ikuhisa Minowa
"Minowaman"
60-43-8
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
Dynamite!! 2010
—
L
DREAM 16
—
W
DREAM 14
—
W
DREAM 13
—
Blue corner
Baru Harn
"Seiryu"
0-0
Career record
Age
34