Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Pat Healy
Maximo Blanco
72%
28%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
W2
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Healy: 23 sig / 5 TD ·
Blanco: 35 sig / 0 TD
Pat Healy
Maximo Blanco
40
Sig strikes landed
29
91
Sig strikes attempted
69
57
Total strikes landed
49
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
153s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Pat Healy
"Bam Bam"
35-23
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
Strikeforce Challengers 18
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 14
—
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Werdum
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—
Blue corner
Maximo Blanco
"Maxi"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28