Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Amir Sadollah
Duane Ludwig
58%
42%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
7-5
Career record
Δ 3 pp
22-14
W2
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sadollah: 95 sig / 0 TD ·
Ludwig: 123 sig / 1 TD
Amir Sadollah
Duane Ludwig
52
Sig strikes landed
55
116
Sig strikes attempted
116
68
Total strikes landed
71
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
81s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Amir Sadollah
7-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
L
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
W1
Duane Ludwig
"Bang"
22-14
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
L
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
—
L
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—