Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Eduardo Pamplona
Tyler Stinson
44%
56%
Why
38
Age
Δ 13y
26
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Eduardo Pamplona
Tyler Stinson
41
Sig strikes landed
41
97
Sig strikes attempted
113
60
Total strikes landed
47
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.4
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
166s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Eduardo Pamplona
17-4
Career record
Height
71"
Age
38
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
Blue corner
Tyler Stinson
"The Evolution"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Age
26