Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Julia Budd
Germaine de Randamie
77%
23%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
71"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
10-3
Career record
Δ 8 pp
11-5
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Budd: 6 sig / 6 TD ·
de Randamie: 29 sig / 0 TD
Julia Budd
Germaine de Randamie
30
Sig strikes landed
27
50
Sig strikes attempted
79
22
Total strikes landed
60
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
77s
Control time
341s
Method
Decision
9%
KO/TKO
76%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Julia Budd
10-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
Strikeforce Challengers 13
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 11
—
Blue corner
W1
Germaine de Randamie
"The Iron Lady"
11-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Cyborg
—