Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Yves Jabouin
Ian Loveland
41%
59%
Why
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
20-12
Career record
Δ 0 pp
18-11
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Jabouin: 37 sig / 2 TD ·
Loveland: 33 sig / 3 TD
Yves Jabouin
Ian Loveland
33
Sig strikes landed
34
69
Sig strikes attempted
82
46
Total strikes landed
56
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
110s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
71%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Yves Jabouin
"Tiger"
20-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
Blue corner
L1
Ian Loveland
"The Barn Owl"
18-11
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
—