Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Katsunori Kikuno
Daisuke Nakamura
75%
25%
Why
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 2
Kikuno: 42 sig / 3 TD ·
Nakamura: 28 sig / 0 TD
Katsunori Kikuno
Daisuke Nakamura
33
Sig strikes landed
30
82
Sig strikes attempted
65
45
Total strikes landed
44
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
108s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Katsunori Kikuno
24-9-2
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
DREAM 15
—
W
DREAM 13
—
Blue corner
Daisuke Nakamura
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31