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🏆 Title fight Main Bantamweight

Dominick Cruz vs Urijah Faber

UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Dominick Cruz
Urijah Faber
62% 38%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
67"
26
Age
Δ 6y
32
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Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Cruz: 90 sig / 4 TD · Faber: 50 sig / 1 TD
Dominick Cruz
Urijah Faber
52
Sig strikes landed
42
109
Sig strikes attempted
104
71
Total strikes landed
71
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
5.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
136s
Control time
205s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Dominick Cruz

"The Dominator"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
W1

Urijah Faber

"The California Kid"
36-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
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