Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Justin Wilcox
Rodrigo Damm
63%
37%
Why
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 1
Wilcox: 21 sig / 0 TD ·
Damm: 7 sig / 0 TD
Justin Wilcox
Rodrigo Damm
52
Sig strikes landed
48
133
Sig strikes attempted
119
57
Total strikes landed
57
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
101s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Justin Wilcox
"Silverback"
15-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce Challengers 12
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 7
—
Blue corner
Rodrigo Damm
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31