Back to Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
Welterweight

Todd Moore vs Mike Bronzoulis

Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum ·American Airlines Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Todd Moore
Mike Bronzoulis
84% 16%
Why
28
Age
Δ 5y
32

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Todd Moore
Mike Bronzoulis
44
Sig strikes landed
45
106
Sig strikes attempted
112
58
Total strikes landed
59
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
139s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Todd Moore

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
Blue corner

Mike Bronzoulis

"The Greek"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Age
32