Main
Light Heavyweight
Quinton Jackson vs Matt Hamill
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Quinton Jackson
Matt Hamill
90%
10%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
33
Age
Δ 2y
35
38-12
Career record
Δ 14 pp
13-8
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jackson: 55 sig / 0 TD ·
Hamill: 32 sig / 0 TD
Quinton Jackson
Matt Hamill
40
Sig strikes landed
36
106
Sig strikes attempted
99
51
Total strikes landed
54
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.4
Takedowns attempted
4.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
102s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Quinton Jackson
"Rampage"
38-12
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
L
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
Blue corner
W2
Matt Hamill
"The Hammer"
13-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—