Back to Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Henderson
Lightweight

Jorge Gurgel vs Billy Vaughan

Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Henderson ·Nationwide Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jorge Gurgel
Billy Vaughan
85% 15%
Why
34
Age
Δ 7y
27
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Gurgel: 1 sig / 0 TD · Vaughan: 0 sig / 0 TD
Jorge Gurgel
Billy Vaughan
47
Sig strikes landed
46
113
Sig strikes attempted
108
67
Total strikes landed
63
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
170s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jorge Gurgel

14-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L Strikeforce - Houston
—
Blue corner

Billy Vaughan

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Age
27