🏆 Title fight
Main
Welterweight
Georges St-Pierre vs Jake Shields
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
·Rogers Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Georges St-Pierre
Jake Shields
79%
21%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
27-2
Career record
Δ 17 pp
32-9-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
St-Pierre: 85 sig / 2 TD ·
Shields: 78 sig / 0 TD
Georges St-Pierre
Jake Shields
56
Sig strikes landed
29
116
Sig strikes attempted
93
84
Total strikes landed
64
2.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.6
Takedowns attempted
8.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
167s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Georges St-Pierre
"Rush"
27-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
W
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
Blue corner
W1
Jake Shields
32-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—