Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Fedor Emelianenko
Antonio Silva
88%
12%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 8"
82"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
36-6
Career record
Δ 25 pp
20-12-1
L1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 2
Emelianenko: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 28 sig / 2 TD
Fedor Emelianenko
Antonio Silva
20
Sig strikes landed
29
53
Sig strikes attempted
73
36
Total strikes landed
49
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.2
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
136s
Control time
230s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Fedor Emelianenko
"The Last Emperor"
36-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Werdum
—
Blue corner
W2
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
20-12-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce - Henderson vs. Bab…
—
W
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
—